Average losses in the first-quarter 2015 for the top six issuers were 213 basis points (bps) below their 2010-2014 averages and now at an unsustainable level over the long term. Analysts are saying the industry may be approaching the inflection point in credit performance.
U.S. credit card outstandings end-of-period (EOP) among the Big 6 issuers rose by a mere 2.3% year-on-year (YOY) in the first quarter to $451.3 billion. Capital One (+8.5%) and American Express (+7.3%) YOY led the pack, while Citibank (-4.9%) and BofA (-0.5%) cleaned up the rear, according to CardData.
CardWeb.com’s CardWatch database of more than 57,000 marketing items today features the Bank of America “Apple Pay” TV commercial.
Capital One (COF), the nation’s fastest growing major credit card issuer, is also posting the highest yields, besting competitors by 200 basis points (bps) in the first quarter. However, COF has the highest delinquency and charge-offs, hallmarks of the sub-prime exposure, according to CardData.
Gross or open accounts (GAC) for U.S. credit cards among the nation’s four largest issuers climbed 5.2% in the first quarter to 189.9 million, compared to 180.4 million one-year ago. While Chase and Citi posted slight downticks in Q1, BofA and Capital One are looking up.
The average U.S. 90+ day delinquency rate among the nation’s four largest issuers declined 4 basis points (bps) sequentially, to a record low of 1.01% for the first quarter, compared to 1.05% in the prior quarter and 1.10% one-year ago.
In today’s CardFlash News Que: INTUIT (biz loans); CLEARENT (funding); CHASE (grants): BOFA (biz survey).
The average charge-off ratio among the nation’s four largest issuers increased 12 basis points (bps) quarter-to-quarter (QOQ) to 3.09% in the first quarter (Q1/15). The top 100 U.S. banks posted a 10 bps increase QOQ to 3.07%, according to CardData.
The average U.S. 30+ day delinquency rate among the nation’s four largest issuers declined 11 basis points (bps) sequentially, to a record low of 1.96% for the first quarter, compared to 2.07% in the prior quarter and 2.16% one-year ago. The top 100 U.S. banks posted a 27 bps decline from 1Q/14.
The total U.S. credit card outstandings market of $884 billion at EOY 2014, rose nearly 5% YOY, with most of the robust growth coming from smaller banks and credit unions. Two of the largest issuers grabbed double digit shares: Chase with 14.4% and Bank of America with 10.4%.
The average yield for U.S. Visa and MasterCard-branded credit cards, issued by the top four issuers, will likely decline by eight basis points (bps) for the first quarter, and down 30 bps from mid-year 2014. Forecaster RAM Research projects an average yield for the Big 4 of 11.30% in the first quarter, compared to 11.59% one-year ago.
The nation’s second largest Visa and MasterCard issuer continues to struggle with sluggish outstandings (like #1 Chase) and purchase volume growth, but credit card issuance remains strong. Forecaster RAM Research projects Bank of America (BofA) will post $88.0 billion in outstandings and $50.2 billion in PDV for the first quarter.