The decline in the U.S. bank credit card delinquency ratio will likely remain flat in the fourth quarter and then reverse course for all of 2015. On a weighted basis 30+ day delinquency will should come in around 2.29%, while the unweighted ratio should edge up slightly to 2.17% for the fourth quarter.
Bank credit card delinquency among the Top 100 U.S. banks continue to decline in the third quarter to 2.16%. The ratio is the lowest in more than 25 years, down 26 basis points (bps) from one year ago, down 65 bps from two years ago and down a stunning 447 bps from five years ago.
Among the top six U.S. credit card issuers, the average 30+day delinquency rate is likely to top 2.00% in the fourth quarter, reversing a four year downward trend. The average 30+day delinquency rate was 1.93%, compared to 1.83% in the second quarter, and compared to 2.12% in the year-ago quarter, according to CardData..
The top six U.S. credit card issuers are all reporting a slight uptick in delinquency for the third quarter. However, Bank of America held steady. Therefore, charge-offs will likely head higher in the first quarter of 2015 as the fourth quarter denominator will be higher.
The top four U.S. Visa and MasterCard issuers are seeing a credit quality reversal as delinquency rates headed higher in the third quarter. Chase, Capital One and Citibank all reported upticks in the 30+ day delinquency rate, while Bank of America held steady.
The nation’s Big 6 credit card issuers reported a big decline in delinquency ratios during the second quarter. The leading indicator for charge-offs is now at a record low and headed lower in the third quarter.
Top Visa and MasterCard issuers continue to realize the rewards of lower delinquency as ratios drop significantly in the second quarter to new bottoms. Chase, the nation’s top issuer. posted a 20 basis points (bps) sequential decline and a 28 bps annual decline in 30+ day bank credit card delinquency in the second quarter.
Credit quality for VISA and MasterCards (V/M) issued by the top four U.S. bank credit card issuers continues to improve. The 30+ day delinquency rate in the first quarter declined 16 basis points from the prior quarter and 52 basis points from one-year ago. According to CardData, the average 30+ delinquency rate among the top U.S. issuers for the first quarter stood at 2.64%, compared to 3.16% for Q1/2013 and 2.80% for the final quarter of 2013.
Xapo is a team of financial and security experts with a proven track record of building trusted financial products, including our last venture, Lemon Wallet. By offering both a Bitcoin wallet and vault in one secure place, Xapo is marrying the ease-of-use Bitcoin users want for everyday needs with the security they require for confident Bitcoin savings. And transferring bitcoins between your wallet and vault is simple and secure – as the industry’s first combined wallet and vault solution, Xapo is your trusted one-stop shop. I welcome you to open your free Xapo account today and be part of the Bitcoin revolution.