The vast majority of Americans (90 percent) recognize the importance that access to credit plays throughout their life, according to the new Chase Slate Credit Survey. However, when it comes to awareness of their personal credit health there are gaps. Nearly four-in-ten Americans (39 percent) admit they do not know their current credit score, and more than half (52 percent) do not know that paying bills on time is the factor that has the largest impact on their credit score.
The average U.S. 30+ day delinquency rate among the nation’s four largest issuers declined 11 basis points (bps) sequentially, to a record low of 1.96% for the first quarter, compared to 2.07% in the prior quarter and 2.16% one-year ago. The top 100 U.S. banks posted a 27 bps decline from 1Q/14.
The average U.S. 90+ day delinquency rate among the nation’s four largest issuers declined 12 basis points (bps) to 1.04% during 2014. The top 100 U.S. banks also posted a 13 bps decline last year to 1.08%.
The average U.S. 30+ day delinquency rate among the nation’s four largest issuers declined 25 basis points (bps) to 2.07% during 2014. The top 100 U.S. banks also posted a 25 bps decline last year to 2.16%.
The average charge-off rate among the top four U.S. Visa and MasterCard issuers jumped 15 basis points (bps) in the fourth quarter after plunging to record lows most of 2014. Capital One (COF) Q/4 charge-offs soared 56 bps sequentially.
Three of the top four U.S. Visa and MasterCard issuers are seeing a continuing credit quality reversal in 2014 as delinquency rates headed higher in the fourth quarter. Bank of America (BofA) posted a five basis points (bps) downtick in Q4 but it is insignificant as their 90+ delinquency rate headed higher.
Citibank faced a rough 2014 as fourth quarter (Q4/14)net revenues declined 8% sequentially (Q/Q) and flat year-on-year (Y/Y) to $16.5 billion. Citi’s Global Consumer Banking business declined 2% Q/Q and flat Y/Y to $9.5 billion for Q4/14.
The decline in the U.S. bank credit card charge-off ratio will likely bottom in the fourth quarter, dipping below the 3.00% mark for the first time since the first quarter 1995, but then heading higher throughout 2015. On a weighted basis charge-offs should come in around 3.01%, while the unweighted ratio should slide to 2.96% for the fourth quarter.
The decline in the U.S. bank credit card delinquency ratio will likely remain flat in the fourth quarter and then reverse course for all of 2015. On a weighted basis 30+ day delinquency will should come in around 2.29%, while the unweighted ratio should edge up slightly to 2.17% for the fourth quarter.
Bank credit card charge-offs, among the Top 100 U.S. banks, continue to decline in the third quarter to 3.01%. The ratio is the lowest since the third quarter of 1985. The ratio is down 31 basis points (bps) from one year ago, down 87 bps from two years ago and down a stunning 736 bps from five years ago.
Bank credit card delinquency among the Top 100 U.S. banks continue to decline in the third quarter to 2.16%. The ratio is the lowest in more than 25 years, down 26 basis points (bps) from one year ago, down 65 bps from two years ago and down a stunning 447 bps from five years ago.
Charge-offs among the nation’s top six credit card issuers will likely drop to 2.33% in the fourth quarter, but will likely inch up in the first quarter as delinquency ramps up. The fourth and first quarter are somewhat skewed due to the seasonality denominator.