The bank card default rate increased 16 basis points (bps) in November from the previous month, to 2.91%. For all consumer credit the composite ratio was 0.97% in November, up three bps from the previous month.
American consumers hit the brakes in October on credit card debt as revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 0.25%, compared to 5.8% in the second quarter, and 8.7% in the first quarter.
U.K. consumer credit in October grew at an 8.2% annual rate to £177.1 billion, driven by continued robust spending.
The charge-off ratio for the top 100 U.S bank credit card issuers edged up 5 basis points (bps) in the third quarter but remains at historic lows.
The 30+ day delinquency rate (not seasonally adjusted) for the top 100 U.S. banks increased 16 basis points (bps) sequentially, but down 7 bps from one-year ago. Among the nation’s top four card issuers, delinquency edged up by 15 bps from the prior quarter, but dropped year-on-year (YOY) by eight bps.
U.S. Bank (USB), one of the nation’s largest commercial card issuers, posted a paltry 0.6% gain in year-on-year (YOY) outstandings and a weak 3.2% gain in consumer and commercial purchase dollar volume (PDV) for the third quarter.
One of the nation’s largest commercial card issuer is expected to report $17.8 billion in outstandings and $16.8 billion in purchase dollar volume (PDV) for the second quarter, according to RAM Research. CardData reports U.S. Bank posted an 6.3% year-on-year (YOY) increase in purchase dollar volume (PDV) in the first quarter (Q1/15).
The 30+ day delinquency ratio for U.S bank credit cards continues to hover at a 25+ year low for the past two quarters and hit the lowest level since 1986. However, RAM Research projects early stage delinquency will rise 4 basis points for the second quarter.
The charge-off ratio for the top 100 U.S bank credit cards has been slowing edging upward, rising 10 basis points (bps) in the fourth quarter and 1 bps in the first quarter. RAM Research projects charge-offs will rise to 3.02% for the second quarter.
Despite the growth of purchase volumes, consumer leverage, as estimated by the financial obligations ratio (FOR), which measures debt service payments on mortgage debt, auto debt, consumer debt and property taxes as a percentage of disposable personal income, continued to decline, amounting to 15.27% in fourth-quarter 2014. This compares with a peak FOR of 18.09% recorded in fourth-quarter 2007 and a 35-year average of 16.51%. As interest rates rise, and consumers experience higher debt service burdens.
The Financial Obligations Ratio (FOR) has declined to 15.27%, the lowest measurement since 1981 and the Debt Service Ratio (DSR) has plunged to 9.91%, the second lowest ever recorded in 35 years.
The average charge-off ratio among the nation’s four largest issuers increased 12 basis points (bps) quarter-to-quarter (QOQ) to 3.09% in the first quarter (Q1/15). The top 100 U.S. banks posted a 10 bps increase QOQ to 3.07%, according to CardData.